TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 10Sunday 8 November · 16:15 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Nice8th place
ANG 32%X 28%NIC 40%

What's at stake

AngersRelegation33%43%50%

What does the market say?

AngersDrawNiceRinvalo32%28%40%
Market28%27%45%

✓ Agree · both back Nice

Prediction

Key factors
  • Nice lead by 99 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Nice 2.4 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • The market also backs the away side (45%).
  • If Angers score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Nice win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.11X28%3.59240%2.50
Double chance
1X60%1.67X268%1.471272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Market 55%Under 2.555%1.83Market 45%BTTS yes52%1.94Market 58%BTTS no49%2.06Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Nice1-1 probability 13.7%
AngersWLLDL
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Angers – Nice14 March 20260-2
Nice – Angers7 December 20250-1
Nice – Angers20 April 20252-1
Angers – Nice1 September 20241-4
Angers – Nice2 April 20231-1
Nice – Angers18 September 20220-1