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Ligue 1 · Matchday 17Saturday 23 January · 16:00 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Rennes5th place
HAC 31%X 25%REN 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 168 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Rennes 1.2 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.27X25%3.92244%2.28
Double chance
1X56%1.78X269%1.441275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.55BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Rennes – Le Havre18 January 20261-1
Le Havre – Rennes5 October 20252-2
Le Havre – Rennes13 April 20251-5
Rennes – Le Havre25 October 20241-0
Le Havre – Rennes11 February 20240-1
Rennes – Le Havre27 August 20232-2