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Ligue 1 · Matchday 17Saturday 23 January · 16:00 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Angers15th place
LMS 44%X 27%ANG 28%

Prediction

  • If Le Mans score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Le Mans win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X27%3.65228%3.55
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.801273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Angers1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
Le MansWLLDL
AngersWLLDL