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Ligue 1 · Matchday 17Saturday 23 January · 16:00 · Stade de l'Aube
Troyes16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Monaco7th place
ETG 23%X 25%MON 52%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 219 rating points.
  • If Troyes score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Monaco score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.40X25%4.02252%1.91
Double chance
1X48%2.10X277%1.291275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Troyes · Columns: Monaco1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
TroyesLLLDW
MonacoWDLDL

Head to head

Troyes – Monaco5 March 20232-2
Monaco – Troyes31 August 20222-4
Monaco – Troyes10 April 20222-1
Troyes – Monaco29 August 20211-2