TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 27Saturday 10 April · 16:00 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Auxerre13th place
LMS 37%X 27%AUX 36%

Prediction

  • If Le Mans score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Le Mans win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X27%3.67236%2.82
Double chance
1X65%1.55X263%1.591273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Auxerre1-1 probability 12.6%
Le MansWLLDL
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Auxerre – Le Mans25 October 20261-1