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Ligue 1 · Matchday 27Saturday 10 April · 16:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Rennes5th place
MON 47%X 26%REN 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.5
Over 2.566%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.12X26%3.89227%3.68
Double chance
1X73%1.37X253%1.891274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.566%1.50Under 2.534%2.98BTTS yes67%1.50BTTS no33%3.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 10.0%

Form

Compare →
MonacoWDLDL
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Monaco – Rennes31 January 20264-0
Rennes – Monaco22 November 20254-1
Monaco – Rennes25 January 20253-2
Rennes – Monaco5 October 20241-2
Monaco – Rennes7 April 20241-0
Rennes – Monaco9 December 20231-2