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Ligue 1 · Matchday 27Saturday 10 April · 16:00 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Paris FC4th place
NIC 30%X 28%PFC 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Nice -0.4.
  • Paris FC lead by 65 rating points.
  • If Nice score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Paris FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.34X28%3.61242%2.36
Double chance
1X58%1.73X270%1.431272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Paris FC1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Paris FC – Nice30 August 20263-0
Paris FC – Nice1 March 20261-0
Nice – Paris FC28 September 20251-1