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Ligue 1 · Matchday 27Saturday 10 April · 16:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Havre18th place
PSG 81%X 14%HAC 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 320 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Le Havre -0.2.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.8 – 0.7
Over 2.567%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.24X14%7.4026%17.18
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.171286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.05BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Le Havre2-0 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain30 October 20261-5
Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain28 February 20260-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Le Havre22 November 20253-0
Paris Saint-Germain – Le Havre19 April 20252-1
Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain16 August 20241-4
Paris Saint-Germain – Le Havre27 April 20243-3