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Ligue 1 · Matchday 27Saturday 10 April · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Lens9th place
LOR 30%X 28%RCL 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 108 rating points.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lens win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.39X28%3.55242%2.36
Double chance
1X58%1.73X270%1.421272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
LorientLWWDL
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Lens – Lorient5 September 20260-1
Lorient – Lens14 March 20262-1
Lens – Lorient2 November 20253-0
Lens – Lorient3 May 20242-0
Lorient – Lens4 November 20230-0
Lorient – Lens21 May 20231-3