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Bundesliga · Matchday 5Saturday 10 October · 17:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Full time6-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
RBL 61%X 22%SGE 17%

What does the market say?

RB LeipzigDrawEintracht FrankfurtRinvalo61%22%17%
Market60%20%20%

✓ Agree · both back RB Leipzig

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Eintracht Frankfurt -0.2.
  • RB Leipzig lead by 60 rating points.
  • RB Leipzig take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.2
Over 2.569%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.63X22%4.55217%5.97
Double chance
1X83%1.20X239%2.581278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.24BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt6-0 probability 0.0% · final score

Form

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Head to head

RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt10 October 20266-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig18 April 20261-3
RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt6 December 20256-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig26 April 20254-0
RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt15 December 20242-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig18 May 20242-2