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Bundesliga · Matchday 5Saturday 10 October · 14:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn14th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Stuttgart11th place
SCP 22%X 25%VFB 53%

What does the market say?

PaderbornDrawStuttgartRinvalo22%25%53%
Market20%21%59%

✓ Agree · both back Stuttgart

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 132 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Stuttgart -0.2, Paderborn -0.8.
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.7
Over 2.550%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.52X25%3.96253%1.90
Double chance
1X47%2.11X278%1.281275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.550%1.98Under 2.550%2.02BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no48%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paderborn · Columns: Stuttgart0-2 probability 9.6% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Paderborn – Stuttgart10 October 20260-2