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Bundesliga · Matchday 5Saturday 10 October · 14:30 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin16th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Elversberg7th place
FCU 45%X 26%SVE 28%

What does the market say?

Union BerlinDrawElversbergRinvalo45%26%28%
Market41%25%34%

✓ Agree · both back Union Berlin

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Union Berlin win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.21X26%3.79228%3.52
Double chance
1X72%1.40X255%1.821274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.55BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.68

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Berlin · Columns: Elversberg1-0 probability 6.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Union Berlin – Elversberg10 October 20261-0