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Ligue 1 · Matchday 15Saturday 2 January · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Auxerre14th place
LOR 50%X 27%AUX 23%

Prediction

  • If Lorient score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.546%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lorient win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.02X27%3.64223%4.36
Double chance
1X77%1.30X250%1.981273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Auxerre1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
LorientLWWDL
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Lorient – Auxerre1 March 20262-2
Auxerre – Lorient17 August 20251-0
Lorient – Auxerre26 February 20230-1
Auxerre – Lorient16 September 20221-3