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Ligue 1 · Matchday 15Saturday 2 January · 16:00 · Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Angers15th place
TFC 64%X 22%ANG 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Toulouse lead by 104 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Toulouse 0.5, Angers -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Toulouse 1.6 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • If Toulouse score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.52214%7.27
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.791278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes44%2.27BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Toulouse · Columns: Angers1-0 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Angers – Toulouse8 February 20261-0
Toulouse – Angers23 November 20250-1
Angers – Toulouse2 March 20250-4
Toulouse – Angers20 October 20241-1
Angers – Toulouse12 March 20230-2
Toulouse – Angers16 October 20223-2