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Ligue 1 · Matchday 15Saturday 2 January · 16:00 · Stade de l'Aube
Troyes16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Rennes5th place
ETG 24%X 24%REN 52%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 215 rating points.
  • If Troyes score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.9
Over 2.561%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.12X24%4.15252%1.94
Double chance
1X48%2.07X276%1.321276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.53BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Troyes · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →
TroyesLLLDW
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Rennes – Troyes14 May 20234-0
Troyes – Rennes4 September 20221-1
Rennes – Troyes20 February 20224-1
Troyes – Rennes31 October 20212-2