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Ligue 1 · Matchday 15Saturday 2 January · 16:00 · Stade Jean-Bouin
Paris FC4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Havre18th place
PFC 64%X 22%HAC 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris FC lead by 168 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris FC 1.8 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Le Havre -0.2.
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.553%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.49214%7.27
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.771278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.12BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Paris FC · Columns: Le Havre2-0 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Paris FC – Le Havre22 March 20263-2
Le Havre – Paris FC7 December 20250-0