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Ligue 1 · Matchday 25Saturday 20 March · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Nice8th place
LOR 45%X 28%NIC 27%

Prediction

  • If Lorient score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lorient win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.23X28%3.53227%3.72
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.811272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Nice1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →
LorientLWWDL
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Nice – Lorient22 August 20260-0
Nice – Lorient22 February 20263-3
Lorient – Nice30 November 20253-1
Nice – Lorient19 April 20243-0
Lorient – Nice20 August 20231-1
Nice – Lorient19 March 20231-1