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Ligue 1 · Matchday 25Saturday 20 March · 16:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Havre18th place
MON 60%X 23%HAC 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 172 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Monaco 1.0 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X23%4.27216%6.16
Double chance
1X84%1.19X240%2.521277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Le Havre1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →
MonacoWDLDL

Head to head

Le Havre – Monaco23 August 20260-1
Le Havre – Monaco24 January 20260-0
Monaco – Le Havre16 August 20253-1
Le Havre – Monaco26 April 20251-1
Monaco – Le Havre22 September 20243-1
Monaco – Le Havre4 February 20241-1