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Ligue 1 · Matchday 25Saturday 20 March · 16:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Strasbourg12th place
PSG 75%X 17%STR 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 185 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Strasbourg 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Strasbourg -0.4.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.9
Over 2.570%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.34X17%6.0529%11.20
Double chance
1X91%1.10X225%3.931283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.570%1.42Under 2.530%3.38BTTS yes56%1.77BTTS no44%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Strasbourg2-0 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain17 October 20261-3
Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain1 February 20261-2
Paris Saint-Germain – Strasbourg17 October 20253-3
Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain3 May 20252-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Strasbourg19 October 20244-2
Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain2 February 20241-2