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Ligue 1 · Matchday 25Saturday 20 March · 16:00 · Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Brest10th place
TFC 45%X 27%BRE 27%

Prediction

  • If Toulouse score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Brest score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Toulouse win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.21X27%3.65227%3.66
Double chance
1X73%1.38X255%1.831273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Toulouse · Columns: Brest1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
BrestLWDLW

Head to head

Brest – Toulouse29 August 20262-2
Brest – Toulouse25 January 20260-2
Toulouse – Brest24 August 20252-0
Toulouse – Brest30 March 20252-4
Brest – Toulouse22 September 20242-0
Toulouse – Brest19 May 20240-3