TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 25Saturday 20 March · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Paris FC4th place
REN 39%X 27%PFC 34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.561%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.55X27%3.73234%2.94
Double chance
1X66%1.52X261%1.641273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.57BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Paris FC1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Paris FC – Rennes18 October 20264-3
Rennes – Paris FC10 May 20262-1
Paris FC – Rennes7 November 20250-1