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Championship · Matchday 16Saturday 21 November · 15:00 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Preston North End24th place
WHU 70%X 19%PNE 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 172 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Preston North End -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: West Ham 1.4 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.7 – 1.1
Over 2.573%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X19%5.36211%8.94
Double chance
1X89%1.13X230%3.351281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.573%1.36Under 2.527%3.77BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Preston North End2-1 probability 8.9%

Form

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