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Eredivisie · Matchday 10Sunday 25 October · 13:30 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen13th place
Full time2-2Prediction wrong
Groningen8th place
NEC 43%X 26%GRO 31%

What does the market say?

NEC NijmegenDrawGroningenRinvalo43%26%31%
Market41%24%35%

✓ Agree · both back NEC Nijmegen

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.560%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a NEC Nijmegen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.33X26%3.80231%3.26
Double chance
1X69%1.44X257%1.751274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.51BTTS yes63%1.60BTTS no37%2.68

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Groningen2-2 probability 6.4% · final score

Form

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Head to head

NEC Nijmegen – Groningen25 October 20262-2
Groningen – NEC Nijmegen10 May 20262-1
NEC Nijmegen – Groningen9 November 20252-0
Groningen – NEC Nijmegen8 February 20252-1
NEC Nijmegen – Groningen3 November 20246-0
Groningen – NEC Nijmegen25 April 20230-1