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Eredivisie · Matchday 10Saturday 24 October · 20:00 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Full time2-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Heerenveen7th place
ADO 23%X 25%HEE 52%

What does the market say?

ADO Den HaagDrawHeerenveenRinvalo23%25%52%
Market29%25%46%

✓ Agree · both back Heerenveen

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Heerenveen lead by 141 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Heerenveen -0.1, ADO Den Haag -1.0.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Heerenveen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.36X25%3.98252%1.92
Double chance
1X48%2.08X277%1.301275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Heerenveen2-3 probability 3.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

ADO Den Haag – Heerenveen24 October 20262-3