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Eredivisie · Matchday 10Friday 23 October · 19:00 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Full time3-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Telstar16th place
GAE 57%X 24%TEL 19%

What does the market say?

Go Ahead EaglesDrawTelstarRinvalo57%24%19%
Market60%21%19%

✓ Agree · both back Go Ahead Eagles

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles -0.2, Telstar -0.8.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.557%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.76X24%4.19219%5.21
Double chance
1X81%1.24X243%2.321276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: Telstar3-2 probability 3.4% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar23 October 20263-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar8 February 20261-1
Telstar – Go Ahead Eagles28 September 20254-2