TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 10Saturday 24 October · 17:45 · Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II18th place
Full time1-6Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Cambuur9th place
WIL 40%X 27%CAM 34%

What does the market say?

Willem IIDrawCambuurRinvalo40%27%34%
Market38%25%37%

✓ Agree · both back Willem II

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Willem II score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Willem II win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.51X27%3.76234%2.98
Double chance
1X66%1.51X260%1.661273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.63BTTS yes64%1.55BTTS no36%2.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Willem II · Columns: Cambuur1-6 probability 0.0% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Willem II – Cambuur24 October 20261-6
Cambuur – Willem II11 May 20221-1
Willem II – Cambuur10 December 20211-3