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Eredivisie · Matchday 10Sunday 25 October · 13:30 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Feyenoord1st place
PSV 51%X 25%FEY 25%

What does the market say?

PSV EindhovenDrawFeyenoordRinvalo51%25%25%
Market46%23%31%

✓ Agree · both back PSV Eindhoven

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 75 rating points.
  • PSV Eindhoven take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • Derby match.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.6
Over 2.576%
Both teams score73%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.98X25%4.06225%4.04
Double chance
1X75%1.33X249%2.021275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.576%1.32Under 2.524%4.12BTTS yes73%1.36BTTS no27%3.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Feyenoord1-1 probability 7.7% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord25 October 20261-1
PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord1 February 20263-0
Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven26 October 20252-3
Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven11 May 20252-3
PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord22 December 20243-0
PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord3 March 20242-2