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Premier League · Matchday 20Tuesday 5 January · 19:30 · City Ground
Nottingham Forest19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Hull City11th place
NFO 56%X 26%HUL 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Nottingham Forest 0.6, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.543%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X26%3.92219%5.37
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.271274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.543%2.34Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nottingham Forest · Columns: Hull City1-0 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Hull City – Nottingham Forest7 May 20221-1
Nottingham Forest – Hull City18 December 20212-1