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Championship · Matchday 40Saturday 3 April · 15:00 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Swansea City3rd place
PNE 25%X 27%SWA 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 211 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Swansea City 1.8 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • Swansea City take 2.0 points per game away.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.96X27%3.68248%2.10
Double chance
1X52%1.91X275%1.341273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Preston North End24 February 20261-1
Preston North End – Swansea City5 November 20252-1
Preston North End – Swansea City4 March 20250-0
Swansea City – Preston North End17 August 20243-0
Swansea City – Preston North End22 December 20232-1
Preston North End – Swansea City26 August 20232-1