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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 40Saturday 3 April · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Wrexham18th place
QPR 50%X 27%WRE 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Wrexham -0.3.
  • If QPR score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.553%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X27%3.73224%4.25
Double chance
1X76%1.31X250%1.991273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL
WrexhamDLWLL

Head to head

QPR – Wrexham24 January 20262-3
Wrexham – QPR13 September 20251-3