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Primeira Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 25 April · 16:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Marítimo14th place
RAV 45%X 28%MAR 27%

Prediction

  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Marítimo score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rio Ave win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.23X28%3.57227%3.70
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.811272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Marítimo1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

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Head to head

Marítimo – Rio Ave7 May 20232-2
Rio Ave – Marítimo23 December 20221-1