TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 25 April · 16:00 · Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Estoril18th place
SCL 55%X 27%EST 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Santa Clara lead by 151 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Santa Clara 2.0 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Santa Clara 0.3, Estoril -0.6.
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Estoril score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.544%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X27%3.76218%5.41
Double chance
1X82%1.23X245%2.221273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.544%2.28Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Santa Clara · Columns: Estoril1-0 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Santa Clara – Estoril31 January 20262-4
Estoril – Santa Clara6 September 20250-1
Santa Clara – Estoril18 January 20252-3
Estoril – Santa Clara11 August 20241-4
Estoril – Santa Clara30 April 20233-0
Santa Clara – Estoril14 November 20223-1