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Primeira Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 25 April · 16:00 · Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting CP3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Gil Vicente10th place
SCP 68%X 21%GIL 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 212 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Gil Vicente 0.1.
  • Sporting CP take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.556%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.48X21%4.82212%8.61
Double chance
1X88%1.13X232%3.091279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.556%1.80Under 2.544%2.25BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sporting CP · Columns: Gil Vicente2-0 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sporting CP – Gil Vicente16 May 20263-0
Gil Vicente – Sporting CP2 January 20261-1
Sporting CP – Gil Vicente4 May 20252-1
Gil Vicente – Sporting CP22 December 20240-0
Gil Vicente – Sporting CP12 April 20240-4
Sporting CP – Gil Vicente4 December 20233-1