TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
FOR 36%X 27%GAE 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles 0.0, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.560%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.80X27%3.72237%2.67
Double chance
1X63%1.60X264%1.561273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.52BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Fortuna Sittard11 January 20262-2
Fortuna Sittard – Go Ahead Eagles8 August 20252-2
Fortuna Sittard – Go Ahead Eagles10 January 20250-3
Go Ahead Eagles – Fortuna Sittard11 August 20240-2
Fortuna Sittard – Go Ahead Eagles3 May 20240-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Fortuna Sittard22 September 20233-0