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Eredivisie · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Feyenoord1st place
UTR 20%X 22%FEY 58%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 176 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Utrecht -0.6.
  • Feyenoord take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.2
Over 2.566%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.10X22%4.47258%1.72
Double chance
1X42%2.38X280%1.241278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.96BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Utrecht · Columns: Feyenoord1-2 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Feyenoord – Utrecht20 September 20265-0
Utrecht – Feyenoord8 February 20260-1
Feyenoord – Utrecht5 October 20253-2
Feyenoord – Utrecht12 January 20251-2
Utrecht – Feyenoord27 October 20240-2
Feyenoord – Utrecht31 March 20244-2