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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Telstar16th place
WIL 23%X 23%TEL 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Telstar lead by 173 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Telstar 0.8 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Willem II score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.1
Over 2.567%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Telstar win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.29X23%4.40254%1.85
Double chance
1X46%2.17X277%1.301277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.06BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Willem II · Columns: Telstar1-1 probability 9.6%

Form

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