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Eredivisie · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Sparta Rotterdam11th place
PEC 35%X 27%SPA 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sparta Rotterdam 0.3, PEC Zwolle -0.7.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Sparta Rotterdam score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Sparta Rotterdam win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.88X27%3.70238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X265%1.531273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes60%1.65BTTS no40%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Sparta Rotterdam1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sparta Rotterdam – PEC Zwolle4 September 20262-2
Sparta Rotterdam – PEC Zwolle8 March 20261-1
PEC Zwolle – Sparta Rotterdam8 November 20251-0
Sparta Rotterdam – PEC Zwolle15 March 20251-1
PEC Zwolle – Sparta Rotterdam30 November 20241-0
Sparta Rotterdam – PEC Zwolle4 February 20240-2