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Eredivisie · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Groningen8th place
TWE 66%X 21%GRO 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 127 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Groningen -0.2.
  • Twente take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Twente score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.563%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.52X21%4.84213%7.42
Double chance
1X87%1.16X234%2.931279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.67BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Groningen2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

Compare →
TwenteWDLWW

Head to head

Groningen – Twente6 September 20262-2
Twente – Groningen22 February 20262-1
Groningen – Twente2 November 20251-1
Groningen – Twente1 March 20251-1
Twente – Groningen15 December 20242-0
Groningen – Twente5 February 20231-1