TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 32Wednesday 17 February · 19:45 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Millwall12th place
SWA 40%X 28%MIL 31%

Prediction

  • If Swansea City score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.48X28%3.52231%3.19
Double chance
1X69%1.46X260%1.671272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Millwall1-1 probability 13.6%

Head to head

Millwall – Swansea City13 October 20260-1
Millwall – Swansea City4 January 20262-1
Swansea City – Millwall27 September 20251-1
Millwall – Swansea City26 April 20251-0
Swansea City – Millwall26 October 20240-1
Swansea City – Millwall4 May 20240-1