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Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Wednesday 21 October · 20:00 · Villa Park
Aston Villa2nd place
Full time3-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Viking33rd place
AVL 72%X 16%VIK 12%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Aston Villa lead by 198 points on the European rating.
  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Viking score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X16%6.37212%8.18
Double chance
1X88%1.14X228%3.581284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Aston Villa · Columns: Viking3-1 probability 6.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Aston Villa – Viking21 October 20263-1