TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Tuesday 20 October · 17:45 · Bank Respublika Arena
Sabah Baku25th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Exact score
Dortmund13th place
SAB 22%X 21%BVB 57%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Dortmund lead by 226 points on the European rating.
  • If Sabah Baku score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Dortmund score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Dortmund win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.59X21%4.79257%1.74
Double chance
1X43%2.34X278%1.281279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sabah Baku · Columns: Dortmund1-2 probability 9.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Sabah Baku – Dortmund20 October 20261-2