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Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Tuesday 20 October · 20:00 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli22nd place
Full time4-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Bodø/Glimt28th place
NAP 43%X 22%BOD 35%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Napoli score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Bodø/Glimt score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Napoli win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.31X22%4.57235%2.86
Double chance
1X65%1.54X257%1.761278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Bodø/Glimt4-3 probability 0.6% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Napoli – Bodø/Glimt20 October 20264-3