TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Tuesday 20 October · 20:00 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart6th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Atlético Madrid16th place
VFB 55%X 20%ATM 25%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 48 points on the European rating.
  • The Bundesliga average is 92 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X20%4.94225%4.06
Double chance
1X75%1.33X245%2.231280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Atlético Madrid1-1 probability 11.3% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid20 October 20261-1