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Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Tuesday 20 October · 20:00 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma15th place
Full time4-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Slovan Bratislava36th place
ROM 78%X 13%SLO 8%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Roma lead by 267 points on the European rating.
  • If Roma score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Slovan Bratislava score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.5
Over 2.555%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
178%1.28X13%7.4828%11.79
Double chance
1X92%1.09X222%4.581287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes38%2.60BTTS no62%1.62

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Slovan Bratislava4-0 probability 6.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Roma – Slovan Bratislava20 October 20264-0