TR
Picks
Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Wednesday 21 October · 20:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis5th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Feyenoord26th place
BET 54%X 20%FEY 26%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • The La Liga average is 73 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X20%4.89226%3.92
Double chance
1X74%1.34X246%2.171280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Feyenoord1-0 probability 8.3% · final score

Head to head

Real Betis – Feyenoord21 October 20261-0