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Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Wednesday 21 October · 17:45 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como9th place
Full time4-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Manchester United21st place
COM 41%X 22%MUN 37%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • The Premier League average is 121 points above the Serie A average.
  • If Como score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.46X22%4.54237%2.68
Double chance
1X63%1.59X259%1.691278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes62%1.63BTTS no38%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Manchester United4-1 probability 1.7% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Como – Manchester United21 October 20264-1