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Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Wednesday 21 October · 20:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter20th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Shakhtar Donetsk17th place
INT 66%X 18%SHA 16%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Inter lead by 142 points on the European rating.
  • If Inter score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Shakhtar Donetsk score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X18%5.69216%6.19
Double chance
1X84%1.19X234%2.971282%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Shakhtar Donetsk1-0 probability 10.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk21 October 20261-0