TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Wednesday 21 October · 20:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid4th place
Full time4-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
RB Leipzig30th place
RMA 62%X 19%RBL 19%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 105 points on the European rating.
  • The Bundesliga average is 92 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.557%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Madrid win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X19%5.34219%5.19
Double chance
1X81%1.24X238%2.631281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Madrid · Columns: RB Leipzig4-1 probability 3.4% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Madrid – RB Leipzig21 October 20264-1