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Champions League · League phase, matchday 3Wednesday 21 October · 20:00 · Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting CP12th place
Full time2-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✕ Missed
LASK24th place
SCP 77%X 14%LAS 9%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 258 points on the European rating.
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If LASK score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
177%1.29X14%7.3229%11.22
Double chance
1X91%1.10X223%4.431286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes40%2.53BTTS no60%1.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sporting CP · Columns: LASK2-3 probability 0.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Sporting CP – LASK21 October 20262-3