TR
Picks
Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Wednesday 20 January · 20:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
COM 27%X 22%PSG 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 171 points on the European rating.
  • If Como score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Paris Saint-Germain win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.64X22%4.64251%1.96
Double chance
1X49%2.04X273%1.381278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Paris Saint-Germain1-1 probability 11.6%